Countries
Sweden
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 4 polls since the 2026 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- S28.3%±4.4+0.3 since 2026100 seats+1
- MG22.1%±3.9+2.2 since 202678 seats+8
- SD17.5%±3.5±0.0 since 202662 seats
- V7.9%±2.4−0.5 since 202628 seats−2
- C6.4%±2.1−0.6 since 202623 seats−2
- MP6.4%±2.1+0.2 since 202623 seats+1
- KDG6.0%±2.0−0.2 since 202621 seats−1
- LG4.0%±1.7−1.3 since 202614 seats−5
- Others1.5%−0.1 since 2026Not polled by name
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2026 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2026 election
4 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | S | M | SD | V | C | MP | KD | L | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | |||||||||
5–11 Oct · 2,512 | 25.9 | 23.9 | 18 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 3.9 | S+2.0 |
28 Sep – 11 Oct · 3,000 | 28.5 | 22.3 | 17.2 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 3.7 | S+6.2 |
| September 2026 | |||||||||
15–27 Sep · 1,694 | 28 | 22 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | S+6.0 |
21–25 Sep · 1,000 | 25.7 | 22.7 | 19.4 | 10 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 4.1 | S+3.0 |
2026 electionResult 13 Sep 2026 | 28.0 | 19.9 | 17.5 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 5.3 | S+8.2 |
How each pollster is weighted4 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
NovusVery high
VerianVery high
IpsosVery high
SentioVery high
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Swedish general election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection and the seats are worked out: Methodology.