Countries
Poland
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 355 polls since the 2023 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- KOG34.1%±4.9+3.4 since 2023199 seats+42
- PiS21.5%±4.1−13.9 since 2023131 seats−63
- Konfederacja12.4%±3.1+6.5 since 202361 seats+46
- KKP8.8%±2.5+7.6 since 202340 seats+37
- LewicaG6.9%±2.2+0.6 since 202321 seats+2
- R+5.2%±1.9+5.2 since 20238 seats+8
- Razem3.8%±1.6+1.5 since 2023No seats−7
- PSLG3.4%±1.6−3.7 since 2023No seats−32
- Polska 2050G1.0%±0.9−6.3 since 2023No seats−33
- Others2.9%−0.9 since 2023Not polled by name
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2023 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2023 election
355 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | KO | PiS | Konfederacja | KKP | Lewica | R+ | Razem | PSL | Polska 2050 | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | ||||||||||
21–22 Oct · 1,000 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | KO+8.0 |
19–21 Oct · 1,014 | 33.5 | 22.1 | 12.2 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 | KO+11.5 |
18–19 Oct · 1,095 | 30.7 | 26.4 | 13.2 | 7.3 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | KO+4.3 |
16–18 Oct · 1,000 | 29.7 | 17.2 | 13.2 | 10 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 0.4 | KO+12.5 |
14–16 Oct · 1,000 | 27.8 | 19.1 | 12.7 | 11.4 | 7 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 | KO+8.7 |
1–13 Oct · 2,000 | 35.9 | 25.0 | 11.8 | 11.3 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | KO+10.9 |
5–8 Oct · 1,000 | 28.6 | 18.2 | 12.8 | 7.3 | 3 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 | KO+10.4 |
6–7 Oct · 1,018 | 33.5 | 22.6 | 13.3 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.8 | KO+10.9 |
5–7 Oct · 1,001 | 33.1 | 17.3 | 13.8 | 7.6 | 6.5 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 2 | 2.2 | KO+15.8 |
2–4 Oct · 1,000 | 30.6 | 18 | 14.1 | 9 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 0.5 | KO+12.6 |
| September 2026 | ||||||||||
21–22 Sep · 1,029 | 32.2 | 22.6 | 14.2 | 7.3 | 7.7 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 1.5 | KO+9.6 |
18–22 Sep · 1,000 | 36.5 | 22.6 | 13.8 | 9.4 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | KO+13.9 |
18–22 Sep · 1,095 | 30.9 | 24.1 | 14.4 | 6.7 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | KO+6.8 |
18–21 Sep · 1,040 | 28.8 | 19.2 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | KO+9.6 |
18–20 Sep · 1,000 | 31.5 | 17.2 | 12.9 | 10.9 | 8.8 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | KO+14.3 |
How each pollster is weighted12 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
Research PartnerVery high
PollsterVery high
Social ChangesHigh
Opinia24High
IPSOSHigh
ARC Rynek i OpiniaHigh
CBM IndicatorHigh
IBSPHigh
OGBAverage
United SurveysLow
CBOSLow
IBRiSLow
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Polish parliamentary election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection and the seats are worked out: Methodology.