Countries
Norway
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 76 polls since the 2025 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- FrP31.9%±4.7+8.1 since 2025
- ApG22.7%±4.0−5.3 since 2025
- H14.5%±3.2−0.1 since 2025
- R7.2%±2.2+1.9 since 2025
- Sp5.0%±1.9−0.6 since 2025
- SV4.9%±1.9−0.7 since 2025
- MDG4.4%±1.7−0.3 since 2025
- KrF3.7%±1.6−0.5 since 2025
- V3.3%±1.5−0.4 since 2025
- Others2.4%−1.9 since 2025
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2025 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2025 election
76 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | FrP | Ap | H | R | Sp | SV | MDG | KrF | V | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | ||||||||||
2–8 Sep · 985 | 29.2 | 25.6 | 15.2 | 6.6 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3 | FrP+3.6 |
31 Aug – 5 Sep · 1,001 | 30.2 | 22 | 15.7 | 7.6 | 6 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 2.8 | FrP+8.2 |
2 Sep | 31.4 | 22 | 13.7 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 4 | FrP+9.4 |
1–2 Sep · 1,003 | 33.4 | 24 | 13.2 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 3.4 | FrP+9.4 |
| August 2026 | ||||||||||
24–29 Aug · 1,000 | 31 | 22.8 | 14.9 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 3.4 | FrP+8.2 |
10–16 Aug · 1,000 | 29.1 | 20.5 | 15.3 | 7.9 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 4 | 2.8 | FrP+8.6 |
11 Aug · 1,001 | 30.6 | 22.5 | 14.7 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.9 | FrP+8.1 |
5–10 Aug · 1,000 | 29.6 | 22.5 | 16.2 | 8.1 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 3.4 | FrP+7.1 |
3–7 Aug · 988 | 29.7 | 22.8 | 15.1 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 8 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 3.1 | FrP+6.9 |
4–5 Aug · 1,004 | 28.9 | 25.2 | 15.8 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 4 | FrP+3.7 |
4 Aug · 1,132 | 32 | 24.5 | 13.4 | 7.8 | 5 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 2.7 | FrP+7.5 |
27 Jul – 1 Aug · 1,001 | 31.2 | 21.7 | 14.8 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4 | 3.1 | 3.5 | FrP+9.5 |
| July 2026 | ||||||||||
7–8 Jul · 1,003 | 28.4 | 22.4 | 15.7 | 8.1 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 3.8 | FrP+6.0 |
| June 2026 | ||||||||||
30 Jun · 1,172 | 31.5 | 21.6 | 14.3 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 4 | 5.1 | FrP+9.9 |
24–30 Jun · 987 | 29.8 | 23.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 3.5 | FrP+5.9 |
How each pollster is weighted6 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
Respons AnalyseVery high
NorstatVery high
NorfaktaHigh
VerianHigh
OpinionHigh
InFactHigh
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the 2029 Norwegian parliamentary election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection is worked out: Methodology.