Countries
Netherlands
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 40 polls since the 2025 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- PRO19.6%±3.8+6.8 since 202530 seats+10
- PVV12.2%±3.0−4.4 since 202519 seats−7
- JA2111.9%±2.9+5.9 since 202518 seats+9
- D66G10.4%±2.8−6.5 since 202516 seats−10
- VVDG9.4%±2.6−4.8 since 202514 seats−8
- CDAG8.0%±2.4−3.7 since 202512 seats−6
- FvD7.3%±2.5+2.8 since 202511 seats+4
- PvdD3.6%±1.6+1.5 since 20255 seats+2
- 50+3.4%±1.5+2.0 since 20255 seats+3
- SP3.3%±1.5+1.4 since 20255 seats+2
- Others0.1%−1.3 since 2025Not polled by name
- CU2.7%+0.8· 4 seats
- SGP2.4%+0.1· 3 seats
- Volt2.3%+1.2· 3 seats
- Denk2.0%−0.3· 3 seats
- BBB1.3%−1.3· 2 seats
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2025 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2025 election
40 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | PRO | PVV | JA21 | D66 | VVD | CDA | FvD | PvdD | 50+ | SP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | ||||||||||||
23 Oct | 20 | 12.7 | 13.3 | 10.7 | 8 | 7.3 | 8 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 10 | PRO+6.7 |
12–14 Oct · 1,697 | 18.3 | 11.7 | 12 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 8.3 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 11.2 | PRO+6.3 |
2 Oct | 19.3 | 12.7 | 13.3 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 9.3 | PRO+6.0 |
| September 2026 | ||||||||||||
25–28 Sep · 1,255 | 17.8 | 12.8 | 9.6 | 11.3 | 11.5 | 9.2 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 3 | 11.5 | PRO+5.0 |
12 Sep | 18 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 12 | 10.7 | 8 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 10 | PRO+6.0 |
1–2 Sep · 1,649 | 16.6 | 11.1 | 9.4 | 13.2 | 12.7 | 9.2 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 9.9 | PRO+3.4 |
| August 2026 | ||||||||||||
29 Aug | 17.3 | 12 | 11.3 | 12 | 10.7 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 8.7 | PRO+5.3 |
21–24 Aug · 1,284 | 16.6 | 10.8 | 9.1 | 11.3 | 12.5 | 10 | 8.8 | 3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 11.2 | PRO+4.1 |
1 Aug | 16 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10.7 | 8.7 | 12 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 8.7 | PRO+4.0 |
| July 2026 | ||||||||||||
10–13 Jul · 1,628 | 15.4 | 11.3 | 9.8 | 14.9 | 12.7 | 8.8 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 10.0 | PRO+0.5 |
| June 2026 | ||||||||||||
26–29 Jun · 1,251 | 17.1 | 12.9 | 8.4 | 10.9 | 13.1 | 10.1 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 10.0 | PRO+4.0 |
20 Jun | 16.7 | 11.3 | 12 | 12.7 | 11.3 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 8.7 | PRO+4.0 |
12–15 Jun · 1,529 | 16.5 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 13 | 13.3 | 9.3 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 9.8 | PRO+3.2 |
| May 2026 | ||||||||||||
21–25 May · 1,232 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 7.7 | 11.1 | 14.8 | 10.3 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 10.7 | PRO+1.5 |
23 May | 15.3 | 12 | 12 | 12.7 | 11.3 | 10 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 8.7 | PRO+2.6 |
How each pollster is weighted3 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
Ipsos I&OVery high
VerianVery high
Peil.nlHigh
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Dutch general election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection and the seats are worked out: Methodology.