Countries
Moldova
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 8 polls since the 2025 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- PASG42.6%±5.4−7.6 since 2025
- PSRM16.5%±3.3+2.5 since 2025
- PPDA12.6%±2.9+7.0 since 2025
- PN8.3%±2.4+2.1 since 2025
- PCRM6.6%±2.1−0.6 since 2025
- MAN4.5%±1.7−1.0 since 2025
- PVM0.1%±0.6−2.9 since 2025
- Others4.0%+1.0 since 2025
- PDCM1.9%+0.4
- PSDE0.8%−0.2
- LOC0.8%+0.4
- PNM0.6%+0.3
- PRIM0.6%+0.6
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2025 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2025 election
8 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | PAS | PSRM | PPDA | PN | PCRM | MAN | PVM | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | |||||||||
25 Aug – 11 Sep · 1,116 | 41 | 17 | 13 | 8.6 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 8.9 | PAS+24.0 |
| June 2026 | |||||||||
1–14 Jun · 1,116 | 38 | 19.9 | 13.6 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 8.9 | PAS+18.1 |
27 May – 8 Jun · 1,004 | 47.6 | 13.3 | 9.9 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 0.4 | 13.2 | PAS+34.3 |
| May 2026 | |||||||||
15 May · 992 | 47.1 | 18.7 | 9 | 5.8 | 2 | 4.9 | 0.3 | 12.2 | PAS+28.4 |
| March 2026 | |||||||||
12–23 Mar · 1,078,235 | 55.6 | 10.4 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 2.6 | – | 12 | PAS+45.2 |
15 Mar · 1,035 | 48.2 | 21.1 | 5.1 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 8.5 | PAS+27.1 |
| February 2026 | |||||||||
15 Feb · 1,113 | 40.8 | 19.6 | 9.8 | 7.6 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 11.9 | PAS+21.2 |
| December 2025 | |||||||||
18 Nov – 4 Dec · 1,123 | 43 | 18.6 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 11.1 | PAS+24.4 |
2025 electionResult 28 Sep 2025 | 50.2 | 14 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 3 | 8.3 | PAS+36.2 |
How each pollster is weighted4 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
IPP/ATESVery high
IMASVery high
ATESVery high
iDataVery high
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Moldovan parliamentary election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection is worked out: Methodology.