Countries
Iceland
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 29 polls since the 2024 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- SG26.9%±4.4+6.2 since 2024
- D23.1%±4.0+3.7 since 2024
- M14.7%±3.3+2.6 since 2024
- CG12.0%±2.9−3.8 since 2024
- B6.6%±2.2−1.2 since 2024
- V4.9%±1.8+2.6 since 2024
- FG4.4%±1.7−9.4 since 2024
- J4.0%±1.8±0.0 since 2024
- P3.3%±1.6+0.3 since 2024
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2024 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2024 election
29 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | S | D | M | C | B | V | F | J | P | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2026 | ||||||||||
1–30 Jun · 12,102 | 26.2 | 24.9 | 15.1 | 11.4 | 5.3 | 5 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 3 | S+1.3 |
2–11 Jun · 1,705 | 25.2 | 22.7 | 14.2 | 12.4 | 8.5 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.5 | S+2.5 |
| May 2026 | ||||||||||
30 Apr – 31 May · 12,979 | 28.4 | 23.5 | 17.6 | 10.6 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | S+4.9 |
| April 2026 | ||||||||||
1–29 Apr · 10,484 | 28.5 | 21.4 | 18.9 | 10.6 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 2 | 2 | S+7.1 |
| March 2026 | ||||||||||
2–31 Mar · 10,746 | 30 | 19.5 | 20.6 | 10 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 2 | 3 | S+9.4 |
2 Feb – 1 Mar · 9,958 | 28.5 | 18.1 | 20.3 | 10.9 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 2 | 2.7 | S+8.2 |
| February 2026 | ||||||||||
21 Jan – 16 Feb · 3,900 | 30.1 | 13.7 | 19.6 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 3.6 | S+10.5 |
15 Feb · 1,993 | 27.2 | 16.2 | 19 | 13.4 | 7 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 5.2 | S+8.2 |
9 Jan – 1 Feb · 9,713 | 31.2 | 17.1 | 20.8 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 3.4 | S+10.4 |
| January 2026 | ||||||||||
9–13 Jan · 886 | 27 | 13.5 | 22.2 | 14.1 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.1 | S+4.8 |
| December 2025 | ||||||||||
1–28 Dec · 9,091 | 30.9 | 16.9 | 21.7 | 10.9 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 3.4 | S+9.2 |
| November 2025 | ||||||||||
3–30 Nov · 10,332 | 31.1 | 16.5 | 19.5 | 12.8 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 3.3 | S+11.6 |
1 Oct – 2 Nov · 11,225 | 31.9 | 17.6 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 3.9 | S+14.3 |
| September 2025 | ||||||||||
16–30 Sep · 2,000 | 32 | 18.3 | 9.9 | 14.4 | 7.1 | 2.1 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 5.2 | S+13.7 |
1–30 Sep · 10,887 | 34 | 19.5 | 11.8 | 12.6 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 2.9 | S+14.5 |
How each pollster is weighted3 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
PrósentVery high
GallupHigh
MaskínaHigh
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Icelandic parliamentary election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection is worked out: Methodology.