Countries
Finland
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 81 polls since the 2023 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- SDP23.9%±4.0+4.0 since 2023
- KOKG16.3%±3.4−4.5 since 2023
- PSG15.7%±3.3−4.3 since 2023
- KESK13.1%±3.0+1.8 since 2023
- VAS11.7%±2.8+4.7 since 2023
- VIHR8.4%±2.4+1.3 since 2023
- SFPG3.7%±1.6−0.6 since 2023
- KDG3.1%±1.5−1.2 since 2023
- LIIK2.1%±1.2−0.4 since 2023
- Others1.9%−0.9 since 2023
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2023 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2023 election
81 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | SDP | KOK | PS | KESK | VAS | VIHR | SFP | KD | LIIK | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | ||||||||||
15 Sep – 19 Oct · 4,076 | 23.3 | 16.2 | 15.3 | 13.8 | 11.6 | 8.6 | 4 | 2.8 | 2.4 | SDP+7.1 |
7 Sep – 5 Oct · 2,807 | 22.7 | 16.3 | 16.5 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 8.3 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 2.1 | SDP+6.2 |
| September 2026 | ||||||||||
18 Aug – 14 Sep · 3,078 | 23.4 | 16.5 | 15 | 13.6 | 11.6 | 8.6 | 4.1 | 3 | 2.2 | SDP+6.9 |
10 Aug – 1 Sep · 2,502 | 22.6 | 17 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 11.7 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 | SDP+5.6 |
| August 2026 | ||||||||||
14 Jul – 17 Aug · 2,946 | 23.8 | 16.5 | 14.6 | 13.7 | 11.3 | 8.8 | 4 | 3 | 2.3 | SDP+7.3 |
6 Jul – 3 Aug · 2,125 | 23.8 | 17 | 15.6 | 12.7 | 10.3 | 9 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 2.2 | SDP+6.8 |
| July 2026 | ||||||||||
15 Jun – 13 Jul · 3,512 | 23.8 | 16.7 | 14.2 | 13.7 | 11.5 | 8.8 | 4 | 3.1 | 2.1 | SDP+7.1 |
| June 2026 | ||||||||||
4–30 Jun · 2,433 | 23.2 | 17.4 | 14.5 | 13.6 | 11.4 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 | SDP+5.8 |
18 May – 15 Jun · 4,080 | 24.1 | 17.4 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 11.2 | 9 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 2.1 | SDP+6.7 |
11 May – 1 Jun · 2,224 | 23 | 18.3 | 13.8 | 14.1 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 1.7 | SDP+4.7 |
| May 2026 | ||||||||||
21 Apr – 18 May · 4,120 | 24.3 | 17.3 | 13.4 | 13.6 | 11 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 2 | SDP+7.0 |
13 Apr – 5 May · 2,378 | 23.7 | 17.6 | 13.9 | 14.2 | 10.9 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 4 | 1.7 | SDP+6.1 |
| April 2026 | ||||||||||
18 Mar – 20 Apr · 4,340 | 24.6 | 17.6 | 13.3 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 9.2 | 4 | 3.1 | 1.9 | SDP+7.0 |
4 Mar – 7 Apr · 2,543 | 24.1 | 17.4 | 13.5 | 14.5 | 11.3 | 8.7 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1 | SDP+6.7 |
| March 2026 | ||||||||||
17 Feb – 16 Mar · 4,048 | 24.8 | 17.8 | 13.4 | 13.7 | 10.4 | 8.9 | 4 | 3.2 | 1.8 | SDP+7.0 |
How each pollster is weighted3 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
Kantar PublicVery high
VerianVery high
TaloustutkimusHigh
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the 2027 Finnish parliamentary election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection is worked out: Methodology.