European Union
The European Parliament, if Europe voted like it polls
Each member state's latest projection of its national polls, its parties sorted into their groups in the European Parliament, and its seats shared out with its own European election rules. Polls up to 24 October 2026. The European People's Party would stay the largest group with 180 of 720 seats.
- The Left57+11
- S&D · Socialists & Democrats116−20
- Greens/EFA · Greens–European Free Alliance42−11
- Renew · Renew Europe58−19
- EPP · European People's Party180−8
- ECR · European Conservatives and Reformists87+9
- PfE · Patriots for Europe100+16
- ESN · Europe of Sovereign Nations47+22
- NI · Non-attached25−8
- No group yet8new
The tick on each bar is the group's size when the Parliament first met in July 2024.
Country by country
Tap a country for its partiesFrom the projections of 24 member states, the same ones as on their polls pages; Latvia, Cyprus and Malta have had no polls since their last election, so those results are used. These are national polls, and people vote differently at European elections (turnout is lower, small parties do better), so read this as where Europe stands today, not a forecast. A party whose MEPs sit in two groups has its seats shared between them; parties with no MEPs yet are put in the group they are expected to join, following Europe Elects. Methodology