Countries
Croatia
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 71 polls since the 2024 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- HDZG31.8%±4.7−2.7 since 2024
- SDP21.2%±3.9−4.2 since 2024
- Možemo14.6%±3.2+5.5 since 2024
- Most10.6%±2.7+3.6 since 2024
- DPG2.4%±1.3−4.1 since 2024
- Drito2.3%±1.3+2.3 since 2024
- IDS1.2%±0.9−1.1 since 2024
- Fokus0.0%±0.6−2.2 since 2024
- Others8.0%+1.1 since 2024
- DOMiNO1.6%−0.2
- Centar1.4%+1.4
- HSU1.2%+1.2
- NPS1.1%−0.1
- PiP1.1%−0.2
- HNS0.8%+0.8
- HSS0.6%+0.6
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2024 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2024 election
71 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | HDZ | SDP | Možemo | Most | DP | Drito | IDS | Fokus | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | ||||||||||
11 Oct · 1,000 | 25 | 19.5 | 13.8 | 9.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 1.1 | – | 11.4 | HDZ+5.5 |
| September 2026 | ||||||||||
22 Sep · 997 | 26.4 | 17.9 | 13.3 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | – | 12 | HDZ+8.5 |
6 Sep · 1,000 | 25.3 | 20.5 | 12.9 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | – | 10.5 | HDZ+4.8 |
| August 2026 | ||||||||||
26 Aug · 997 | 26.6 | 18.2 | 13.6 | 9.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | – | 11.1 | HDZ+8.4 |
| July 2026 | ||||||||||
31 Jul · 997 | 27.4 | 18.8 | 13.3 | 9 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1 | – | 13.6 | HDZ+8.6 |
5 Jul · 1,300 | 27 | 21.5 | 12.2 | 7.7 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | – | 9.3 | HDZ+5.5 |
| June 2026 | ||||||||||
26 Jun · 994 | 26.8 | 19.7 | 12.5 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | – | 14.2 | HDZ+7.1 |
7 Jun · 1,000 | 27.3 | 22 | 12 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.1 | – | 9.4 | HDZ+5.3 |
| May 2026 | ||||||||||
26 May · 997 | 27.2 | 20.3 | 12.3 | 7.9 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | – | 13.5 | HDZ+6.9 |
11 May · 1,000 | 29 | 22.2 | 12 | 7.3 | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | 0.3 | 8.6 | HDZ+6.8 |
| April 2026 | ||||||||||
27 Apr · 990 | 27.7 | 19.8 | 12 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | – | 13.3 | HDZ+7.9 |
5 Apr · 1,000 | 30 | 22.8 | 11.8 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | – | 8.7 | HDZ+7.2 |
| March 2026 | ||||||||||
26 Mar · 994 | 28.3 | 19.6 | 11 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | – | 13.1 | HDZ+8.7 |
8 Mar · 1,000 | 29.7 | 22.5 | 12.3 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 8.7 | HDZ+7.2 |
| February 2026 | ||||||||||
26 Feb · 989 | 28.6 | 20 | 10.4 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | – | 14.7 | HDZ+8.6 |
How each pollster is weighted3 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
Promocija plusVery high
2x1 komunikacijeVery high
IpsosAverage
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Croatian parliamentary election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection is worked out: Methodology.