Countries
Bulgaria
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 9 polls since the 2026 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- PBG40.7%±5.3−3.2 since 2026
- GERB–SDS12.1%±3.0−1.1 since 2026
- PP10.1%±2.8+3.9 since 2026
- DB6.8%±2.2+0.6 since 2026
- DPS6.2%±2.1−0.8 since 2026
- Vaz5.3%±2.0+1.1 since 2026
- MECh3.1%±1.5−0.1 since 2026
- BSP3.0%±1.4±0.0 since 2026
- Velichie2.5%±1.3−0.6 since 2026
- Others10.3%+1.8 since 2026
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2026 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2026 election
9 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | PB | GERB–SDS | PP | DB | DPS | Vaz | MECh | BSP | Velichie | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | |||||||||||
14–22 Oct · 1,001 | 41.6 | 14.7 | 12.3 | 6.7 | 7 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 6.9 | PB+26.9 |
13–19 Oct · 1,006 | 41.3 | 11.2 | 11.9 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 5.1 | – | – | – | 17.1 | PB+29.4 |
26 Sep – 2 Oct · 1,003 | 40.8 | 14.2 | 7.6 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 8.9 | PB+26.6 |
| September 2026 | |||||||||||
26–29 Sep · 1,006 | 42.2 | 12.6 | 11 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 6.6 | – | – | – | 11.5 | PB+29.6 |
| August 2026 | |||||||||||
24 Jul – 4 Aug · 821 | 44.4 | 12.6 | 8 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 5 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 7.7 | PB+31.8 |
| July 2026 | |||||||||||
17–23 Jul · 1,000 | 46.8 | 14.8 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 4.5 | – | 3.2 | – | 10.6 | PB+32.0 |
11–19 Jul · 1,002 | 45.5 | 14.8 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 4.2 | – | – | – | 10.7 | PB+30.7 |
| June 2026 | |||||||||||
13–21 Jun · 1,005 | 46.3 | 15.5 | 7 | 7 | 5.8 | 5 | – | – | – | 11.6 | PB+30.8 |
| May 2026 | |||||||||||
16–27 May · 1,008 | 45.7 | 15.6 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 4.3 | – | – | – | 12.9 | PB+30.1 |
2026 electionResult 19 Apr 2026 | 43.9 | 13.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 7 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.1 | 10 | PB+30.7 |
How each pollster is weighted5 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
Market LinksVery high
Gallup InternationalVery high
TrendVery high
GallupVery high
Alpha ResearchVery high
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Bulgarian parliamentary election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection is worked out: Methodology.